Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Werder Bremen		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5.25
	1.58	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.65	5.44
	1.55	4.61	5.35	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.57	4.65	5.15	Watch
	1.58	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	4.48 ↑ (4.05)	5.34 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
61%

Draw
21.2%

Darmstadt
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	17.6%	0%

Werder Bremen - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Werder Bremen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zetterer M. (G) 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. (C) 13. Veljkovic M. 8. Weiser M. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 19. Kohn D. 17. Grull M. 20. Schmid R. 7. Ducksch M.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 5. Maglica M. 2. Lopez S. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Muller A. 15. Nurnberger F. 8. Marseiler L. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 30. Backhaus M. (G) 10. Bittencourt L. 15. Burke O. 2. Deman O. 3. Jung A. 22. Malatini J. 11. Njinmah J. 5. Pieper A.	30. Brunst A. (G) 3. Bueno G. 23. Gjasula K. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M. 42. Torsiello F. 29. Vilhelmsson O.
Coaches
Werner O.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Veljkovic M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
22', Stark N. 🟨,
35', Zetterer M. 🟨,
36', Maglica M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Weiser M. 🟨,
62', Marseiler L. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
70', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
70', Grull M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
73', Ducksch M. 🟨,
82', Muller A. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
82', Maglica M. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
90+3', Bueno G. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Jung A. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
90+6', Kohn D. ↓, Deman O. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder won 1.

Recent matches Werder is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darmstadt is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Werder is a favorite.

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Knee Injury) Friedl M. (Groin Injury) Topp K. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Werder won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Paderborn - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Hannover - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	1:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.02.24	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:1
01.10.23	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	4:2
German 2 Bundesliga
19.03.22	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0
17.10.21	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	3:0
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:1
German Bundesliga
04.03.17	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	2:0
01.10.16	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	2:2

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