Match Info

3. Liga - Round 36

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.9	3.1
	1.9	3.95	3.3
	1.86	4.3	3.91
	1.99	4.04	3.13	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.5
	1.82	4.06	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.05)	3.99 ↑ (3.69)	3.43 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
49.6%

Draw
23.3%

Hoffenheim II
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Hoffenheim II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Jahn Regensburg - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hoffenheim II will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Regensburg: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 4. Strauss F. (C) 37. Wurm L. 33. Seidel N. 29. Fein A. 25. Oliveira N. 6. Saller B. 11. Eichinger N. 7. Schonfelder O. 21. Hottmann E.	1. Petersson L. (G) 24. Erlein L. 5. Frees K. 49. Luhrs Y. 39. Bahr F. 23. Honajzer A. 8. Dagdeviren D. 11. Hennrich P. 14. Micheler F. 38. Zeitler D. 45. Labes B. O.
Substitutes
10. Beckhoff P. 13. Dietz F. 8. Geipl A. 35. Hingerl S. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 31. Matzler L. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 20. Posselt J. X. 40. Seibold J.	13. Abraha N. 30. El-Jindaoui N. 35. Fields J. 19. Hencke O. 33. Lade B. (G) 29. Makanda B. 18. Onos M. 20. Poller J. T. 28. Spranger T.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Kleineheismann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Hottmann E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Erlein L. ↓, Abraha N. ↑,
60', Seidel N. ↓, Posselt J. X. ↑,
64', Micheler F. 🟨,
67', Dagdeviren D. 🟨,
67', Labes B. O. ↓, Fields J. ↑,
67', Hennrich P. ↓, Poller J. T. ↑,
75', Ziegele R. ↓, Beckhoff P. ↑,
75', Hottmann E. ↓, Dietz F. ↑,
76', Micheler F. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
76', Honajzer A. ↓, Makanda B. ↑,
81', Saller B. 🟨,
84', Frees K. 🟨,
87', Schonfelder O. ↓, Seibold J. ↑,
87', Saller B. ↓, Hingerl S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Dietz F. ⚽, Fein A. (A),
90+7', 2 - 1, Bahr F. ⚽, Abraha N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hoffenheim II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Regensburg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Regensburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16:11	5	13
13	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18:17	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Jahn Regensburg - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
25.04.26	Hansa Rostock - Jahn Regensburg	2:5 ✺
17.04.26	Jahn Regensburg - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	1860 München - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Jahn Regensburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLTWL
- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
25.04.26	Hoffenheim II - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Duisburg - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Hoffenheim II - Schweinfurt	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Hoffenheim II	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim II	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.12.25	Hoffenheim II - Jahn Regensburg	1:0

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