Match Info

3. Liga - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Rupert Y. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Erzgebirge Aue		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.62
	2.38	3.82	2.76
	2.37	3.76	2.62	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.63
	2.4	3.57	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)	2.66 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
39.5%

Draw
25.6%

Hoffenheim II
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

24.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

23.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hoffenheim II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hoffenheim II will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 29. Collins J. 30. Seiffert M. 7. Weinhauer E. 11. Uhlmann E. 5. Simnica L. 24. Ehlers J. 15. Bar M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J.	1. Petersson L. (G) 24. Erlein L. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Lassig V. (C) 16. Hor Y. 17. Engelns L. 10. Duric L. 14. Micheler F. 11. Hennrich P. 38. Zeitler D. 31. Eduardo Y.
Substitutes
23. Barylla A. 9. Bornschein R. 20. Fabisch J. 19. Guttau J. 22. Lord L. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 39. Schmid M. 25. Zobel T.	13. Abraha N. 39. Bahr F. 8. Dagdeviren D. 30. El-Jindaoui N. 5. Frees K. 19. Hencke O. 45. Labes B. O. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 20. Poller J. T.
Coaches
Dabrowski C.	Kleineheismann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
2', Malone R. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Zeitler D. ⚽, Hennrich P. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Duric L. ⚽, Erlein L. (A),
15', 0 - 3, Hennrich P. ⚽, Eduardo Y. (A),
18', Collins J. 🟥,
20', Ehlers J. 🟨,
29', 0 - 4, Duric L. ⚽, Hennrich P. (A),
33', Weinhauer E. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
34', Malone R. ↓, Zobel T. ↑,
40', 1 - 4, Bar M. ⚽, Gunther-Schmidt J. (A),
45+3', Duric L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 5, Zeitler D. ⚽, Eduardo Y. (A),
55', 2 - 5, Bar M. ⚽, Seiffert M. (A),
55', Duric L. ↓, Poller J. T. ↑,
55', Eduardo Y. ↓, Labes B. O. ↑,
67', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
78', Erlein L. ↓, Abraha N. ↑,
78', Micheler F. ↓, Dagdeviren D. ↑,
84', Bar M. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
84', Uhlmann E. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑,
85', Zeitler D. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
86', 3 - 5, Bornschein R. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Aue has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hoffenheim II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim II: 2.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16:11	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Erzgebirge Aue - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
22.03.26	Hoffenheim II - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Hoffenheim II	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hoffenheim II - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:4 ✺
03.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Hoffenheim II - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.10.25	Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1

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