The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jahn Regensburg 48.8%
Draw 25.2%
Erzgebirge Aue 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
24.8%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
24.3%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.5%
10.5%
0%
Jahn Regensburg - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Regensburg (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jahn Regensburg will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jahn Regensburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 37. Wurm L. 31. Matzler L. 33. Seidel N. 25. Oliveira N. 5. Muller P. 29. Fein A. 7. Schonfelder O. 11. Eichinger N. 21. Hottmann E. 30. Kuhlwetter C. (C)
1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 30. Seiffert M. 5. Simnica L. 19. Guttau J. 20. Fabisch J. 9. Bornschein R. 7. Weinhauer E. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
26. Bauer B. 10. Beckhoff P. 13. Dietz F. 8. Geipl A. 27. Hermes L. 44. Karbstein M. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 6. Saller B. 14. Ziegele R.
23. Barylla A. 8. Clausen M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 22. Lord L. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 39. Schmid M. 11. Uhlmann E.
Coaches
Hildmann S.
Dabrowski C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Muller P. ⚽,
31', Simnica L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Muller P. 🟨,
60', Muller P. ↓, Saller B. ↑,
60', Hottmann E. ↓, Hermes L. ↑,
68', Simnica L. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑,
76', Eichinger N. ↓, Beckhoff P. ↑,
77', Fabisch J. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
77', Bornschein R. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
84', Fein A. 🟨,
86', Weinhauer E. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
86', Bar M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
87', Schonfelder O. ↓, Bauer B. ↑,
87', Fein A. ↓, Ziegele R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 2.
Recent performances by Regensburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aue has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Regensburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Regensburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).