Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 9
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.9	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2.05
	3.2	3.8	2.02	Watch
	3.35	3.87	2.09
	3.3	3.82	2.06
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.78	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
29.2%

Draw
24.9%

Karlsruher
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

24.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.7%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	14.3%	64.3%

Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Regensburg (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 37. Wurm L. 4. Ballas F. (C) 3. Hein B. 27. Ananou F. 5. Bulic R. 2. Handwerker T. 15. Ernst S. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 20. Ganaus N. 9. Hottmann E.	1. Weiss M. (G) 22. Kobald C. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 2. Jung S. 17. Rapp N. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 31. Conte B. 25. Egloff L.
Substitutes
22. Adamyan S. 25. Bauer J. 12. Cuk L. M. (G) 39. Galjen D. 1. Gebhardt F. (G) 29. Huth E. 36. Kieffer B. 34. Suhonen A. 10. Viet C.	26. Bauer B. 32. Bormuth R. 27. Ersungur A. 29. Gunther L. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Raychouni M.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Bulic R. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Burnic D. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
39', Burnic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Egloff L. 🟨,
58', Ernst S. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
58', Hein B. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Hottmann E. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
72', Egloff L. ↓, Ersungur A. ↑,
85', Ananou F. ↓, Kieffer B. ↑,
86', Hottmann E. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
86', Herold D. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
86', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
90+6', Beifus M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 9).

Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 0.

In recent matches, Regensburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Regensburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Karlsruher is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Regensburg: Breunig L. (Muscle Injury) Meyer M. (Muscle Injury) Proger K. (Knee Injury) Saller B. (Pelvis Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Hunziker A. (Muscle Injury) Jensen L. (Yellow Cards) Pfeiffer L. (Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Regensburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.25	Köln - Jahn Regensburg	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Jahn Regensburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Magdeburg - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Elversberg - Jahn Regensburg	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTLWL
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
04.05.25	Karlsruher - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Karlsruher - Hannover	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.24	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	4:2
24.02.23	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	1:0
20.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	0:6
13.03.22	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
02.10.21	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	2:2
07.02.21	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	0:0
03.10.20	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	1:0

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