Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.4	5	7.25
	1.39	5	6.8	Watch
	1.39	5.44	7.74
	1.41	5.01	7.09	Watch
	1.4	4.8	7	Watch
	1.43	4.86	6.89	Watch
	1.39	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.98 ↓ (5.2)	7.07 ↓ (7.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
67.6%

Draw
19%

Jahn Regensburg
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

17.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Magdeburg - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Regensburg (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 8. Teixeira B. 25. Gnaka S. 17. Nollenberger A. 21. Michel F. 20. Amaechi X. 9. Kaars M. 29. Burcu L.	23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 37. Wurm L. 4. Ballas F. (C) 14. Ziegele R. 36. Kieffer B. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 2. Handwerker T. 10. Viet C. 3. Hein B. 20. Ganaus N. 22. Adamyan S.
Substitutes
31. Baars M. 34. Chahed T. 14. El-Zein A. 15. Heber D. 27. Hercher P. 30. Kruth N. (G) 19. Musonda L. 22. Nadjombe P. 3. Pfeiffer P.	5. Bulic R. 15. Ernst S. 39. Galjen D. 1. Gebhardt F. (G) 8. Geipl A. 29. Huth E. 33. Proger K. 34. Suhonen A.
Coaches
Titz C.	Patz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Handwerker T. 🟨,
17', Burcu L. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Kaars M. ⚽, Burcu L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Michel F. ↓, El-Zein A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, El-Zein A. ⚽, Nollenberger A. (A),
58', Kieffer B. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
58', Wurm L. ↓, Bulic R. ↑,
58', Handwerker T. ↓, Ernst S. ↑,
71', Amaechi X. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Kaars M. ⚽,
75', Burcu L. ↓, Heber D. ↑,
75', Hugonet J. ↓, Baars M. ↑,
76', Ziegele R. 🟨,
80', Adamyan S. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
84', Nollenberger A. ↓, Musonda L. ↑,
84', Kuhlwetter C. ↓, Geipl A. ↑,
85', Ernst S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Regensburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Magdeburg is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Atik B. (Yellow Cards) Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) El Hankouri M. (Groin Injury) Heber D. (Thigh Injury) Holmstrom A. (Thigh Injury) Krempicki C. (Yellow Cards) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury) Loric S. (Ankle Injury) Musonda L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Regensburg: Ananou F. (Injury) Breunig L. (Muscle Injury) Hottmann E. (Tooth injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
12.04.25	Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Magdeburg - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Odra Opole - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.25	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTL
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
13.04.25	Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Elversberg - Jahn Regensburg	6:0 ✺
30.03.25	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.11.24	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	0:1
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
09.04.23	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	2:2
02.10.22	Magdeburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0
21.04.19	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	1:0
11.11.18	Magdeburg - Jahn Regensburg	2:3
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.17	Magdeburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:2

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