Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.93
	4	3.7	1.82	Watch
	4.03	3.81	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.95	Watch
	4.35	3.63	1.83	Watch
	4	3.7	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.9)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)	1.87 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
23.5%

Draw
25.9%

Schalke 04
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

25.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	10.5%	73.7%

Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Schalke will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 37. Wurm L. 36. Kieffer B. 14. Ziegele R. 10. Viet C. 4. Ballas F. (C) 2. Handwerker T. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 3. Hein B. 20. Ganaus N. 22. Adamyan S.	28. Heekeren J. (G) 31. Bulut T. 6. Schallenberg R. 35. Kaminski M. 23. Aydin M. 25. Barkok A. 7. Seguin P. 30. Donkor A. 19. Karaman K. (C) 8. Younes A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
5. Bulic R. 15. Ernst S. 39. Galjen D. 1. Gebhardt F. (G) 8. Geipl A. 29. Huth E. 11. Ochojski N. 33. Proger K. 34. Suhonen A.	10. Ba P. M. 37. Gruger M. 24. Hamache I. 26. Kalas T. 34. Langer M. (G) 29. Mohr T. 5. Murkin D. J. 2. Sanchez F. 50. Toure T.
Coaches
Patz A.	Van Wonderen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Kuhlwetter C. ⚽,
24', Seguin P. 🟨,
32', Bulut T. 🟨,
34', Aydin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Adamyan S. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
67', Bulut T. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
67', Aydin M. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
72', Barkok A. 🟨,
73', Barkok A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
73', Younes A. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
78', Viet C. ↓, Ernst S. ↑,
78', Kieffer B. ↓, Ochojski N. ↑,
79', Ganaus N. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
84', Donkor A. ↓, Murkin D. J. ↑,
86', Kuhlwetter C. ↓, Bulic R. ↑,
88', Pollersbeck J. 🟨,
90+2', Ochojski N. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Galjen D. ⚽, Ernst S. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 11).

Regensburg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Schalke is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schalke will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Regensburg: Breunig L. (Muscle Injury) Hottmann E. (Tooth injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Antwi-Adjei C. (Muscle Injury) Aydin M. (Illness) Bachmann J. (Calf Injury) Bulut T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Drexler D. (Suspended) Gantenbein A. (Red Card) Hamache I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hojlund E. (Hamstring Injury) Karius L. (Groin Injury) Podlech L. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.04.25	Elversberg - Jahn Regensburg	6:0 ✺
30.03.25	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLT
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
06.04.25	Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Schalke 04 - Groningen	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.25	Schalke 04 - Hannover	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Schalke 04 - Jahn Regensburg	2:0
05.02.22	Schalke 04 - Jahn Regensburg	2:1
21.08.21	Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04	4:1

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