Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.75	5.5
	1.45	4.9	5.6	Watch
	1.47	5.22	6.22
	1.5	4.79	5.67	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5.5	Watch
	1.44	5.15	6.15	Watch
	1.45	4.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	4.91 ↑ (4.71)	5.72 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
64.4%

Draw
19.2%

Karlsruher
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

20%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

19.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Hamburger SV - Karlsruher Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 3 - 60%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hamburg (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 8. Elfadli D. 30. Hefti S. 17. Karabec A. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. (C) 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D. 7. Dompe J.	1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 22. Kobald C. 4. Beifus M. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 6. Jensen L. 17. Rapp N. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 31. Conte B. 19. Ben Farhat L.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 47. Oliveira N. 10. Pherai I. 19. Raab M. (G) 20. Richter M. 4. Schonlau S. 49. Stange O.	32. Bormuth R. 25. Egloff L. 29. Gunther L. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 9. Hunziker A. 14. Kaufmann M. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 24. Schleusener F.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Beifus M. 🟨,
27', Elfadli D. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Selke D. (Pen),
45+3', 1 - 2, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Ben Farhat L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Burnic D. 🟨,
59', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
64', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
64', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
67', Jensen L. 🟨,
72', Meffert J. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
72', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
82', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
82', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
85', Conte B. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
89', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
89', Jensen L. ↓, Bormuth R. ↑,
90', Heusser R. 🟨,
90+5', Rapp N. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Karlsruher could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Oliveira N. (Muscle Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Pfeiffer L. (Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Karlsruher: Jung S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:24 (average 2.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
19.04.25	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:4 ✺
05.04.25	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
28.03.25	Hamburger SV - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTW
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
20.04.25	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Karlsruher - Hannover	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3
28.01.24	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:4
06.08.23	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	2:2
12.03.23	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	4:2
03.09.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	1:0
16.04.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:0
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:2 penalties

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