Match Info

First League - Round 15

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Jaiyq		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.60	2.75
	2.15	3.35	2.59
	2.09	3.69	2.9	Watch
	2.11	3.45	2.65
	2.09	3.52	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)	3.52 ↓ (3.69)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jaiyq
42.5%

Draw
25.3%

Khan Tengri
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

24.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

22.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiyq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+2%)

Jaiyq - Khan Tengri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Tobaniyaz A. ⚽, Umbetov T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, Yakudi K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 8).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaiyq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jaiyq	23	9	4	10	21:26	-5	31
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
17.07.26	Astana 2 - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
09.07.26	Jaiyq - Tobol 2	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Jaiyq	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	Jaiyq - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWTLL
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
16.07.26	Khan Tengri - Yelimay 2	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	5:2 ✺
02.07.26	Khan Tengri - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:3 ✺
25.06.26	Kairat 2 - Khan Tengri	5:0 ✺
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
24.04.26	Khan Tengri - Jaiyq	1:0

Upcoming Matches