Match Info

First League - Round 14

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Astana 2		Jaiyq

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.60	2.95
	1.95	3.70	3.00
	1.99	3.50	2.76
	2.15	3.86	2.72	Watch
	1.91	3.60	2.90
	1.85	3.82	3.34
	2.05	3.8	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)	3.7 ↑ (3.63)	2.91 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana 2
45.2%

Draw
24.2%

Jaiyq
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

23.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Jaiyq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Astana 2 - Jaiyq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Tokenov T. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 6)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Astana 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Astana 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	24	10	3	11	42:49	-7	33
6	Jaiyq	23	9	4	10	21:26	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
10.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Astana 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:1 ✺
26.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Astana 2	1:1 ✺
18.06.26	Astana 2 - Kairat 2	2:3 ✺
11.06.26	Taraz - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTLW
- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
09.07.26	Jaiyq - Tobol 2	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Jaiyq	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	Jaiyq - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
11.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
16.04.26	Jaiyq - Astana 2	1:0

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