Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Jaraíz		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.92
	4.27	2.76	2.02
	3.46	2.39	2.68	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	4.2	2.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.05)	2.84 ↓ (3.15)	2.11 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraíz
23.9%

Draw
32.4%

Badajoz
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

28.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaraíz's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaraíz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Jaraíz - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Jaraíz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Badajoz is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jaraíz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Badajoz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Jaraíz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Jaraiz	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Moralo - Jaraíz	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jaraíz - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.05.26	Badajoz - Gévora	3:0
03.05.26	Calamonte - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Badajoz - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4
14.12.25	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:1
20.10.24	Badajoz - Jaraíz	1:2

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