Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday
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Villanovense |
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Badajoz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.9 |
2.72 |
2.05 |
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3.87 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
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3.92 |
2.83 |
2.09 |
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3.6 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
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3.94 |
2.78 |
2.05 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.85 ↓ (4.34) |
2.79 ↓ (3.15) |
2.08 ↑ (1.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villanovense 23.6% | Draw 32.6% | Badajoz 43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Badajoz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badajoz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Villanovense - Badajoz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Matansio B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villanovense won 0.Villanovense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Badajoz is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Villanovense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Badajoz has had a series of home games. Badajoz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villanovense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Villanovense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;