Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 11

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Jarun Zagreb		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.6
	4.4	3.75	1.6	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.98	1.62
	4.75	3.98	1.62
	4.75	3.88	1.58
	4.2	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.5)	3.83 ↑ (3.1)	1.61 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarun Zagreb
19.8%

Draw
23.7%

Šibenik
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

27.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jarun Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Šibenik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jarun Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šibenik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Jarun Zagreb - Šibenik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jarun will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Šibenik will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Savatovic L. (G) 17. Abramovic K. 5. Bicanic V. 18. Boskovic B. 4. Dajcer L. 16. Filipovic J. 19. Pranjic J. 25. Smoljo L. 6. Stipic M. 9. Tadic J. 3. Zilinski F.	1. Djakovic A. (G) 9. Bozic I. 34. Cvijanovic I. 5. Dujmovic D. 4. Gacic J. 22. Kolega T. 7. Majic J. 55. Peric S. 21. Pozo I. 28. Roca I. 23. Torres C.
Substitutes
11. Alghoul H. 7. Babic M. 21. Domancic M. 88. Ibanez L. 1. Ilincic N. (G) 23. Kukavica I. 26. Matekovic C. 14. Stanic L. 10. Zuljevic M.	10. Bacelic-Grgic S. 2. Brajkovic B. 8. Brajkovic R. 30. Cosic R. 17. Ivankovic R. 11. Laca I. 44. Marijanovic R. 74. Misevic L. (G) 32. Rovis M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Šibenik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
14.10.23	Solin - Jarun Zagreb	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Jarun Zagreb - Vukovar 91	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWW
- HNK Šibenik
Croatian Prva NL
14.10.23	Šibenik - Dubrava	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	0:0 ✺
02.10.23	Šibenik - Dugopolje	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
27.09.23	Radnik Križevci - Šibenik	4:3 ET ✺
Croatian Prva NL
23.09.23	Sesvete - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTTLL

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