Match Info

K League 1 - Relegation - Final

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)


	Jeju		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.1	2.45
	2.94	3.32	2.52
	1.74	3.51	4.77	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.45
	2.8	3.18	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.02)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	2.79 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jeju
35.8%

Draw
29.8%

Suwon Bluewings
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeju's form might have worsened.

Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Suwon Bluewings's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Suwon Bluewings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Jeju - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Jeju (2.25) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +1 - Jeju (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Jeju (6.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 2nd Half - Jeju (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Jeju (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Jeju (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Jeju (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Jeju (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 2nd Half - Jeju (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Jeju (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Suwon Bluewings (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 23. Rim Chang-Woo 26. Lim Chai-Min 4. Song Ju-Hun 40. Kim Ryun-Seong 27. Kim Jun-ha 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 5. Italo 77. Kim Seung-Sub 9. Yuri Tanque 10. Nam Tae-Hee	1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 19. Lee Geon-hee 12. Kwon Wan-Kyu 4. Leo Andrade 23. Lee Ki-Je 70. Matheus Serafim 14. Hong Won-Jin 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 91. Park Ji-Won 9. Ilyuchenko S. (C) 11. Paulo Henrique
Substitutes
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 3. Jang M. 13. Jeong Woon 18. Oh Jae-Hyeok 19. Shin Sang-Eun 17. Yu In-Soo	74. Bruno Costa 6. Choi Young-Jun 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 7. Kim Hyun 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 13. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 17. Lee Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Kim J.	Byun Sung-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Kim Seung-Sub ⚽, Yuri Tanque (A),
27', Yuri Tanque 🟨,
41', Lee Ki-Je 🟥,
44', 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Italo ⚽, Yuri Tanque (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paulo Henrique ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,
46', Park Ji-Won ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
46', Hong Won-Jin ↓, Jang Seok-Hwan ↑,
46', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
46', Kim Jun-ha ↓, Yu In-Soo ↑,
69', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Jang M. ↑,
69', Lee Gyu-Seong ↓, Kim Hyun ↑,
77', Yuri Tanque ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
77', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
87', Rim Chang-Woo ↓, Oh Jae-Hyeok ↑,
90', Yu In-Soo 🟨,
90+5', Bruno Costa 🟨,
90+9', Choi Byung-wook 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Suwon Bluewings has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
03.12.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Jeju - Daegu	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jeju - Anyang	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Gwangju - Jeju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLL
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
03.12.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ansan Greeners - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Suwon Bluewings - Cheongju	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
03.12.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	0:1
22.10.23	Jeju - Suwon Bluewings	2:0
18.08.23	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	1:0
27.05.23	Jeju - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
15.04.23	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	2:3
20.08.22	Jeju - Suwon Bluewings	1:2
22.05.22	Jeju - Suwon Bluewings	0:0

Upcoming Matches