The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Suwon Bluewings 42.6%
Draw 29.9%
Jeju 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
28.1%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
28.2%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Suwon Bluewings - Jeju Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Suwon Bluewings: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Suwon Bluewings (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Suwon Bluewings will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon Bluewings (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 19. Lee Geon-hee 12. Kwon Wan-Kyu 4. Leo Andrade 23. Lee Ki-Je 70. Matheus Serafim 14. Hong Won-Jin 17. Lee Min-Hyuk 74. Bruno Costa 9. Ilyuchenko S. (C) 77. Kim Ji-Hyun
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 23. Rim Chang-Woo 26. Lim Chai-Min 4. Song Ju-Hun 40. Kim Ryun-Seong 27. Kim Jun-ha 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 5. Italo 77. Kim Seung-Sub 9. Yuri Tanque 10. Nam Tae-Hee
Substitutes
6. Choi Young-Jun 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 7. Kim Hyun 13. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 3. Ko Jong-hyun 91. Park Ji-Won 11. Paulo Henrique
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 3. Jang M. 13. Jeong Woon 18. Oh Jae-Hyeok 19. Shin Sang-Eun 17. Yu In-Soo
Coaches
Byun Sung-Hwan
Kim J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Italo 🟨,
44', Leo Andrade 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim Jun-ha ↓, Yu In-Soo ↑,
65', Kim Min-Jun 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Yuri Tanque (Penalty Awarded),
76', Kim Ji-Hyun ↓, Kim Hyun ↑,
76', Yuri Tanque ↓, Jang M. ↑,
77', Kim Hyun 🟨,
81', Leo Andrade ↓, Jang Seok-Hwan ↑,
81', Bruno Costa ↓, Park Ji-Won ↑,
82', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
84', Choi Byung-wook 🟨,
88', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
90+2', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Oh Jae-Hyeok ↑,
90+2', Rim Chang-Woo ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
90+6', Shin Sang-Eun 🟨,
90+10', Kim Ryun-Seong 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 2.
Suwon Bluewings is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jeju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Suwon Bluewings won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Jeju - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.57%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.