Match Info

K League 1 - Round 14

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Ulsan HD		Jeju

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.8	Watch
				Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.8
	1.97	3.57	4.24
	1.91	3.44	4	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.48	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	3.95 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
49%

Draw
27.4%

Jeju
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Ulsan HD - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 77. Sim Sang-Min 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 28. Lee Jae-Ik 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 66. Trojak M. 6. Bojanic D. 17. Kang Sang-Woo 9. Marcao	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 23. Rim Chang-Woo 41. Kim Jae-Woo 3. Celestine J. 40. Kim Ryun-sung 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 20. Jang M. 27. Kim Jun-ha 94. Emerson Negueba 10. Nam Tae-Hee (C)
Substitutes
96. Choi Seok-Hyun 20. Jeong Jae-sang 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 16. Park Woo-jin 27. Pedrinho 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 4. Seo Myung-Guan 99. Yago Cariello	21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 13. Jeong Woon 28. Kim Geon-Ung 18. Kim Shin-Jin 6. Kwon Gi-min 7. Park Chang-Jun 11. Shin Sang-Eun 17. Yu In-Soo
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽, Bojanic D. (A),
31', Kim Jae-Woo 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Trojak M. ⚽,
43', Jang M. ↓, Kim Geon-Ung ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Kim Jun-ha ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
60', Marcao ↓, Yago Cariello ↑,
60', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
78', Bojanic D. ↓, Lee Gyu-Seong ↑,
79', Nam Tae-Hee ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
79', Rim Chang-Woo ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Emerson Negueba ⚽, Park Chang-Jun (A),
90+2', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Choi Seok-Hyun ↑,
90+2', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Jeong Jae-sang ↑,
90+6', Cho Hyun-Taek ↓, Seo Myung-Guan ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
10.05.26	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Anyang - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLT
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
09.05.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Bucheon - Jeju	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Incheon United - Jeju	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.03.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:2
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1
09.08.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	1:0
11.05.25	Jeju - Ulsan HD	1:2
09.03.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	2:0
26.07.24	Jeju - Ulsan HD	1:0
23.06.24	Jeju - Ulsan HD	2:3

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