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Current Win Probability
Gwangju 13.1%
Draw 19%
FC Seoul 67.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.6%
23.5%
61.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.3%
23%
63.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Seoul's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
7.1%
85.7%
Gwangju - FC Seoul Predictions
Users Predictions:
FC Seoul will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 37. Ri Yong-jik 6. Ahn Young-Kyu (C) 17. Joao Pedro 40. Shin Chang-Moo 14. Yu Je-Ho 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 70. Kim Woo-jin 50. Ba Loua A. 88. Moon Min-seo
25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 5. Al Arab Y. 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 8. Lee Seung-Mo 6. Babec H. 10. Anderson Oliveira 42. Son J. 9. Klimala P.
Substitutes
11. Fridjonsson H. 18. Iredale J. 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 16. Joung Ji-hun 8. Ju Se-Jong 1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 24. Kim Y. 39. Min Sang-Gi 33. Park Won-Jae
17. Ahn Jae-min 19. Cheon Seong-Hoon 41. Hwang Do-Yun 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 20. Lee Han-Do 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 40. Park Seong-hun 66. Park Soo-Il
Coaches
Lee J.
Kim Gi-Dong
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Son J. ⚽, Choi Jun (A),
22', 0 - 2, Kim Jin-Su ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Choi Kyoung-Rok ⚽, Kwon Sung-Yun (A),
40', Kim Woo-jin 🟥,
45+8', 1 - 3, Lee Seung-Mo ⚽, Jeong Seung-Won (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Moon Min-seo ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
47', 2 - 3, Shin Chang-Moo ⚽, Iredale J. (A),
52', 2 - 4, Jeong Seung-Won ⚽, Anderson Oliveira (A),
56', Ahn Young-Kyu 🟥,
60', 2 - 5, Anderson Oliveira ⚽,
63', Son J. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
66', Joao Pedro ↓, Park Won-Jae ↑,
69', Al Arab Y. 🟨,
73', Al Arab Y. ↓, Park Seong-hun ↑,
78', Ba Loua A. ↓, Joung Ji-hun ↑,
84', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Park Soo-Il ↑,
84', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
87', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Jang Seok-Hwan ↑,
87', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Kim Y. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 1.
Gwangju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Seoul is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gwangju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Seoul is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
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Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 
Ri Yong-jik 
Joao Pedro 
Ba Loua A. 
Al Arab Y. 
Ros J. 
Babec H. 
Klimala P. 
Fridjonsson H. 
Iredale J. 
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