Match Info

K League 1 - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.00	2.40	Watch
	2.87	3.10	2.45
	2.80	3.00	2.30
	3.10	3.11	2.62
	3.09	3.15	2.36	Watch
	3.00	3.05	2.55
	2.84	3.18	2.47	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
31.8%

Draw
30.2%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeonbuk Motors: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Jeonbuk Motors (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeonbuk Motors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 20. Park Kyung-sub 32. Lee Ju-Yong 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 15. Seo Jae-Min 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 70. Leandro Ribeiro 72. Lee Chung-Yong 9. Mugosa S.	31. Song Bum-Keun (G) 23. Kim Tae-Hwan (C) 5. Park Ji-Su 2. Kim Young-Bin 66. Choi Woo-Jin 16. Gamboa J. 97. Kim Jin-Gyu 7. Lee Dong-Jun 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 95. Italo 9. Tiago Orobo
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 99. Ferrier M. 11. Gerso 23. Jeong Chi-In 17. Kim Seong-Min 26. Lee Min-Hyuk 3. Lee Sang-Gi 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 6. Mun Ji-Hwan	99. Bruno Mota 15. Kim Ha-jun 11. Kim Seung-Sub 77. Kim Tae-Hyeon 1. Lee Ju-hyeon (G) 10. Lee Seung-Woo 28. Lee Yeong-Jae 6. Maeng Seong-Ung 3. Yeon Je-Woon
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Chung Jung-Yong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Kim Young-Bin 🟨,
4', Kim Myung-soon 🟨,
24', Lee Myoung-Joo 🟨,
24', Kim Tae-Hwan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
54', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Gerso ↑,
57', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Lee Seung-Woo ↑,
70', Tiago Orobo ↓, Bruno Mota ↑,
70', Italo ↓, Kim Seung-Sub ↑,
78', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
78', Mugosa S. ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Lee Seung-Woo ⚽, Kim Jin-Gyu (A),
87', Gamboa J. ↓, Lee Yeong-Jae ↑,
87', Kim Jin-Gyu ↓, Maeng Seong-Ung ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Gerso ⚽,
90+1', Seo Jae-Min 🟨,
90+6', Choi Woo-Jin 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2.

Incheon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeonbuk Motors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Incheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Incheon has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Jeonbuk	31	11	11	9	39:30	9	44
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42

Last Results with these Odds

Incheon United - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.06%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
26.08.26	Anyang - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Jeju - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimpo - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTTL
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
25.08.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Dangjin Citizen	2:3 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Bucheon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.07.26	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0
21.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	1:2
02.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	0:0
24.08.24	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1
16.06.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	2:2
01.05.24	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	3:0
12.11.23	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1

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