Match Info

K League 1 - Round 27

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gimcheon Sangmu		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.00	5.50	Watch
	1.52	4.20	5.75
	1.46	3.90	5.50
	1.56	4.50	6.06
	1.56	4.18	5.46	Watch
	1.52	4.45	5.90
	1.59	4.17	5.47	Watch
	1.50	4.20	5.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	4.2 ↑ (3.5)	5.64 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
61.2%

Draw
22.2%

Gwangju
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimcheon Sangmu's performance.

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Park M. (G) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 48. Hong Yun-Sang 8. Kim Yi-Seok 56. Lee K. 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 9. Lee G. 47. Lee Sang-Heon	23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 39. Min Sang-Gi 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 17. Joao Pedro 40. Shin Chang-Moo (C) 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 14. Yu Je-Ho 8. Ju Se-Jong 50. Ba Loua A. 18. Iredale J.
Substitutes
51. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 42. Hong Si-Hoo 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 17. Kim Joo-Chan 5. Kim Min-Kyu 6. Lee Soo-Bin 14. Park Se-Jin 53. Roh Kyung-Ho	19. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 11. Fridjonsson H. 16. Joung Ji-hun 1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 24. Kim Y. 3. Lee Min-Ki 33. Park Won-Jae 37. Ri Yong-jik 7. Saitoski E.
Coaches
Joo S.	Lee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Kim Yi-Seok ⚽, Go Jae-Hyeon (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ju Se-Jong ↓, Joung Ji-hun ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Go Jae-Hyeon ⚽,
60', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
60', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Ri Yong-jik ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Iredale J. ⚽, Joung Ji-hun (A),
67', Lee G. ↓, Jung Jae-Min ↑,
67', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
73', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Park Won-Jae ↑,
73', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Park Se-Jin ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Fridjonsson H. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
86', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Kim Joo-Chan ↑,
86', Kim Yi-Seok ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
90+1', Min Sang-Gi ↓, Kim Y. ↑,
90+2', Jang Seok-Hwan 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Gwangju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimcheon Sangmu has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gimcheon Sangmu is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
29.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gimpo - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTLT
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
30.08.26	Gwangju - FC Seoul	2:5 ✺
26.08.26	Gangwon - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
22.07.26	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1
17.03.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	1:1
22.07.25	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1
05.05.25	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0
16.03.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	0:0
28.09.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:0
15.06.24	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0

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