Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.5
	2.61	3.28	2.5	Watch
	2.68	2.99	2.68
	2.55	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.93)	3.22 ↑ (3)	2.55 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
35.4%

Draw
28.5%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerusalem FC's form might have worsened.

Agudat Sport Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agudat Sport Ashdod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agudat Sport Ashdod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jerusalem FC - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 9).

Jerusalem is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches AS Ashdod is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jerusalem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jerusalem will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jerusalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.03.25	Ironi Modiin - Jerusalem FC	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Jerusalem FC	6:1 ✺
07.03.25	Jerusalem FC - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWLWW
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.03.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Azor - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:2 ✺
14.02.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
10.12.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	0:1

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