Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 9

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)


	Nanjing City		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.6	3.6	5	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.63	3.55	5.34	Watch
	1.59	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	5.25 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
56.9%

Draw
25.8%

Jiangxi Lushan
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

26.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huang Zihao (G) 27. Wang Hao 26. Liu Jiahui 16. Gong Hankui 8. Wei Yuren 31. Zhu Qiwen 9. Yang He 22. Huang Peng 19. Huang Zhenfei 11. Matheus Moresche 20. Ogbu M.	34. Ma Kunyue (G) 4. Zhu Mingxin 13. Zhang Yanjun 24. Du Junpeng 17. Xu Dongdong 32. Nihmat Nihat 20. Cui Hao 26. Zhang Xiang 16. Hu Jiaqi 10. Willie 11. Brown T.
Substitutes
2. Dujardin A. 23. Gong Jinlin 3. Huang Wei 25. Hu Shuming 15. Jiang Shichao 28. Ling Jie 17. Meng Zhen 18. Nan Xiaoheng 10. Onuegbu K. 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 33. Sun Enming 6. Wang Haoran	44. Abdukerim Qaharman 19. Chen Junxu (G) 18. Faye M. 12. Han Zhen (G) 33. Kang Zhenjie 15. Liu Zipeng 6. Song Ziwenhao 7. Wu Linfeng 23. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Jong-boo Kim	Li Zheng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Matheus Moresche ⚽, Yang He (A),
35', 1 - 1, Hu Jiaqi ⚽, Zhu Mingxin (A),
39', Cui Hao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wei Yuren ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
46', Zhang Xiang ↓, Faye M. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Yang He ⚽,
58', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
58', Gong Hankui ↓, Jiang Shichao ↑,
58', Cui Hao ↓, Kang Zhenjie ↑,
73', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Wang Haoran ↑,
78', Nihmat Nihat ↓, Abdukerim Qaharman ↑,
82', Sun Enming 🟨,
84', Ogbu M. 🟨,
84', Kang Zhenjie 🟨,
88', Ogbu M. ↓, Onuegbu K. ↑,
90+4', Wang Hao 🟨,
90+7', Huang Zihao 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 3.

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jiangxi Lushan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nanjing City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nanjing City have a series of home games.

In this match Nanjing City is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
28.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Nanjing City - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
31.03.24	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTTWT
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
27.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Jiangxi Lushan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.09.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2
04.06.23	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0
08.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2
10.06.22	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1
31.05.21	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0
05.05.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	0:1

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