Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Jinan Xingzhou

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.37	1.88
	3.98	3.42	1.88	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (5.45)	3.36 ↓ (3.73)	1.91 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
23.6%

Draw
27.6%

Jinan Xingzhou
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

25.1%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

24.4%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiangxi Lushan's performance.

Jinan Xingzhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jinan Xingzhou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiangxi Lushan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jinan Xingzhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Jiangxi Lushan - Jinan Xingzhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jinan Xingzhou will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jiangxi Lushan: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Fan Weixiang (G) 22. Liu Zefeng 3. Zhang Xiang 4. Liu Yulei 20. Hurman Baqyjan 10. Weslley (C) 18. Ablimit Subi 6. Zheng X. 16. Chen Yunhua 23. Zixhaun Y. 12. Mendy L.	16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 23. Bai Jiajun 14. Sunzu S. 17. Xu Jizu 19. Ma Chongchong 31. Tan Tiancheng 33. Ye Chongqiu 9. Lu Yongtao 20. Shohret R. 18. Tambe R. 10. Wang Zihao
Substitutes
7. Cruz M. 11. Deng Jiaxing 8. Hu Shuming 29. Lin Zefeng 30. Li Qinghao 35. Liu Zipeng 34. Ma K. (G) 39. Wang Yongxin 5. Xue Yuxiang 14. Ying Yuxiao 27. Zeping Y.	27. Fernando Karanga 4. Liu Boyang 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 24. Qi Tianyu 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 37. Yi Xianlong 26. Yu Jianfeng 41. Zeng Yaozhang 21. Zhang Yi 28. Zhong Weihong
Coaches
Yu M.	Wei Xin

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 7).

Jiangxi Lushan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jinan Xingzhou is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Jiangxi Lushan have a series of guest games.

Recently Jinan Xingzhou have a series of home games.

In this match Jinan Xingzhou is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
26.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLWL
- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
26.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
20.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0

Jiangxi Lushan - Jinan Xingzhou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide