Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)

Referee: Wang Yang (Chn)


	Yanbian Longding		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.47	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.75	5.4
	1.53	3.97	6.27
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.48	3.92	6.04	Watch
	1.52	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	5.87 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
60.8%

Draw
23.7%

Jiangxi Lushan
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Yanbian Longding - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Dong Jialin (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 7. Han Guanghui 14. Li L. 31. Qian Changjie 10. Ivo 17. Li Shibin 6. Li Qiang 9. Ronan	19. Chen Junxu (G) 7. Wu Linfeng 13. Zhang Yanjun 4. Zhu Mingxin 16. Hu Jiaqi 17. Xu Dongdong 18. Faye M. 11. Brown T. 25. Wang Hongbin 10. Willie 44. Abdukerim Qaharman
Substitutes
5. Li Da 24. Li Haojie 33. Li Jinyu 29. Liu Bo 12. Li Ya'nan (G) 8. Sun Jun 16. Wang B. 23. Wang Chengkuai 2. Xuan Z. 26. Xu Wenguang 37. Yang Jingfan 25. Zhang Hao	20. Cui Hao 30. Gao Mingyi 12. Han Zhen (G) 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 32. Nihmat Nihat 6. Song Ziwenhao 23. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Kim Bong-Gil	Yue S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Ivo (Pen),
8', Qian Changjie 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Abdukerim Qaharman ⚽, Hu Jiaqi (A),
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wu Linfeng ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Ronan ⚽, Li Qiang (A),
61', Li Shibin ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
61', Li L. ↓, Wang Chengkuai ↑,
66', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Song Ziwenhao ↑,
70', Ivo ↓, Sun Jun ↑,
76', Jin Taiyan 🟨,
76', 🟨,
84', Li Qiang ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
84', Willie ↓, Gao Mingyi ↑,
90+2', Dong Jialin 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jiangxi Lushan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jiangxi Lushan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yanbian Longding is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Yunnan Yukun - Yanbian Longding	5:1 ✺
04.05.24	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.05.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Young Boy	0:3 ✺
05.05.24	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1
13.05.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Yanbian Longding	0:2

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