Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.7	3	2
	3.97	3.27	1.98
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.74	3.36	1.96
	3.4	3.25	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	3.21 ↓ (3.26)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
25.4%

Draw
28.4%

Dongguan Guanlian
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.5%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

28.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Dongguan Guanlian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Jiangxi Lushan - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Shi Xiaton (G) 22. Liu Zefeng 21. Liu Wenhao 16. Chen Yunhua 4. Liu Yulei 3. Zhang Xiang 6. Zheng X. 20. Hurman Baqyjan 23. Zixhaun Y. 7. Cruz M. 10. Weslley	34. Zhang X. (G) 28. Zhang Xingbo 21. Cui Xinglong 6. Feng Xiaoting 26. Su Shihao 22. Zhao Mingjian 23. Loe R. 30. Huang Chuqi 8. Ruan Jun 14. Yao Xilong 10. Onuegbu K.
Substitutes
18. Ablimit Subi 8. Hu Shuming 33. Kang Zhenjie 29. Lin Zefeng 30. Li Qinghao 31. Liu Shangkun 35. Liu Zipeng 34. Ma K. (G) 12. Mendy L. 5. Xue Yuxiang 14. Ying Yuxiao 27. Zeping Y.	9. Beshathan Zanhar 27. Chen H. 1. Chen Junxu (G) 35. He Mingli 18. Li Canming 32. Ma Junliang 15. Sun D. 20. Wang Xingqiang 11. Wu Jianfei 42. Wu Y. 36. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Bene Lima	Wang Hongwei

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 8).

Jiangxi Lushan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dongguan Guanlian is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Jiangxi Lushan have a series of guest games.

Dongguan Guanlian will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
13.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLL
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
13.08.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
06.08.23	Nanjing City - Dongguan Guanlian	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Dongguan Guanlian	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dongguan Guanlian	3:4 ✺
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.05.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0

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