Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 4

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Jocoro		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.23	2.7
	2.3	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.18	2.61
	2.5	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.39)	3.19 ↑ (3.05)	2.61 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jocoro
36.8%

Draw
28.4%

Fuerte San Francisco
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jocoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jocoro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jocoro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Jocoro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jocoro FC
El Salvador Primera Division
24.01.24	CD FAS - Jocoro	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Jocoro - CD Dragón	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Jocoro	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Águila - Jocoro	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Jocoro - CD Dragón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
24.01.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Isidro Metapán - Fuerte San Francisco	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
29.11.23	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
18.11.23	Jocoro - Fuerte San Francisco	2:3
24.09.23	Fuerte San Francisco - Jocoro	1:0

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