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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 49.7%
Draw 24.5%
MVV Maastricht 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
24.2%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
27%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ka I. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Menu M. (C) 5. De Grand S. 6. Sijbrands J. 10. Oerip J. 8. Robbemond R. 7. Roede M. 9. Kovacs B. 11. de Wit T.
1. Wentges H. (G) 17. van der Wegen S. 6. Dicke F. 22. Bouland S. 2. Hofland M. 18. Sierra E. 10. Dumont O. 16. Klaasen R. (C) 21. Asante D. 24. El Hamdaoui N. 7. Daneels L.
Substitutes
24. Bergraaf J. 22. Budko B. 18. Elkjaer F. 15. Esajas J. 23. Homan N. (G) 12. Inge K. 20. Johannessen T. 21. Simons S. 17. Toppenberg K. 19. van den Ban Y. 14. van Ouytsel K. 16. Zeggen K. (G)
20. Amgar A. 23. Goffings V. (G) 14. Kuipers M. 26. Mansala Mpudi A. 27. Matoug N. 12. van der Heijden S. (G) 8. Van Dessel S. 9. Vinogradac T. 29. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Peereboom F.
Jonker A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Dumont O. ⚽, Hofland M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Roede M. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
63', Kovacs B. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
63', De Grand S. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
64', Klaasen R. ↓, Van Dessel S. ↑,
73', Sierra E. ↓, Vinogradac T. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, El Hamdaoui N. ⚽, Dumont O. (A),
82', de Wit T. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Oerip J. ⚽, Natali A. (A),
85', Sijbrands J. ↓, Elkjaer F. ↑,
87', Asante D. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
87', El Hamdaoui N. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.
Jong AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Maastricht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Jong AZ has had a series of away games.
In this match, Jong AZ is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Jong AZ: Dijkstra E.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 2.1:2).
Usa
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Ka I. (G) 
Natali A. 
Kovacs B. 
Sierra E. 
Budko B. 
Elkjaer F. 
Johannessen T. 
Amgar A. 
Vinogradac T. 
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