Match Info

Date: 6 November 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 6d 11h 📅 Remind Me


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Almere City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	4.22	2.15
	2.72	4.27	2.13	Watch
	2.7	4.1	2.1
	2.78	4	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.72)	4.15 ↓ (4.27)	2.13 (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
33.9%

Draw
22.4%

Almere City
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

21.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

21.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 4th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Almere City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:32 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jong AZ against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:17 goals (averaging 2.7:2.4 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Almere City	13	8	1	4	27:13	14	25
10	Jong AZ	13	5	2	6	32:28	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Almere City - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.10.26	Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
23.10.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport	5:4 ✺
16.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:4 ✺
09.10.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLW
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.10.26	Waalwijk - Almere City	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.10.26	Telstar - Almere City	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.10.26	Almere City - Roda	2:3 ✺
17.10.26	Emmen - Almere City	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	3:4
24.10.25	Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3
07.04.23	Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
22.08.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	3:2
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.05.22	Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:3
09.08.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	2:1

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City