The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 26.8%
Draw 22.8%
Almere City 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
23.2%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
22.3%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.5%
4.5%
90.9%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Almere City (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Jong AZ (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Almere City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almere City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Almere City (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schipper J. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Menu M. (C) 4. van Duijn S. 5. Simons S. 6. Robbemond R. 8. Budko B. 7. Oufkir A. 10. Toppenberg K. 11. Bouziane W. 9. van den Ban Y.
1. Wendlinger J. (G) 25. Sam A. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 5. Bijleveld T. 20. Kalisvaart J. 8. de Haan M. 17. Poku E. 10. Rijkhoff J. 11. Kadile J. 9. Druijf F.
Substitutes
. Dekkers S. . de Wit T. . Hartog J. . Kovacs B. . Mastoras E. . Ouaziz A. . Oud J. . Schilder K. (G) . Smits A. . van der Klaauw D. . van Driel
7. Burgering B. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 15. Engel M. 23. Jacobs Ja. 3. Jacobs Jo. 31. Mateyo M. (G) 28. Providence R. 2. Reith B. 16. Takahashi N. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 32. Vianello T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Bouziane W. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Lawrence J. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽,
27', Oufkir A. 🟨,
37', Sam A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Poku E. ⚽, Kalisvaart J. (A),
60', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
60', Zwart J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Dekkers S. (A),
66', 2 - 4, Druijf F. ⚽,
70', Toppenberg K. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
71', Sam A. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
73', 3 - 4, Kovacs B. ⚽, Oufkir A. (A),
76', Kalisvaart J. 🟨,
78', van den Ban Y. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
78', Oufkir A. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
86', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
86', Druijf F. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
86', Bijleveld T. ↓, Vianello T. ↑,
90', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
90+3', van Duijl B. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.
Jong AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almere City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2.7:2.2).