Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	De Graafschap		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.10	4.00	2.82	Watch
	2.10	3.75	2.85
	1.88	3.90	3.15	Watch
	2.18	4.16	2.88
	1.81	4.64	3.39	Watch
	2.09	4.05	2.90
	2.06	3.97	3.01	Watch
	2.04	3.90	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.77)	4.05 ↓ (4.53)	2.98 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
45.8%

Draw
23%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

20.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Graafschap's form might have worsened.

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 24. Meerstadt J. 4. Hardeman J. 14. Bolk G. 21. Symons K. 3. Besselink R. 10. de Jong F. (C) 8. Warmerdam D. 18. Eijken D. 9. Kania J. 27. Ahmeti N.	1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. van Duijl B. 5. De Grand S. 6. Ichihara R. 10. de Wit H. 8. Oerip J. (C) 7. Sin M. 9. Kovacs B. 11. Oufkir A.
Substitutes
31. Bouwman S. (G) 36. Braem T. 32. Grotenhuis T. 34. Hartgers N. 23. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 11. Mero T. 7. van Zijl B. 2. Wieckhoff J.	22. de Wit T. 15. Elkjaer F. 12. Inge K. 23. Ka I. (G) 14. Menu M. 20. Robbemond R. 17. Roede M. 16. Schilder K. (G) 21. Sijbrands J. 18. Simons S. 19. van den Ban Y.
Coaches
Duivenvoorden T.	Peereboom F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Oerip J. ⚽, Kovacs B. (A),
15', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
15', Oufkir A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Warmerdam D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Natali A. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
46', Sin M. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
46', Eijken D. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
51', Bolk G. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Kovacs B. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Ahmeti N. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
59', Hardeman J. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
74', de Jong F. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Robbemond R. ⚽,
75', de Wit H. ↓, de Wit T. ↑,
75', De Grand S. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
79', Symons K. ↓, Mambo B. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, van Zijl B. ⚽, Mero T. (A),
85', Kovacs B. 🟨,
86', Warmerdam D. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
86', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Oufkir A. ⚽, van den Ban Y. (A),
90+1', Besselink R. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 5, Oufkir A. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
90+4', Kania J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4.

De Graafschap is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.

In this match, De Graafschap is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.6:0.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

De Graafschap: 0.81%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

De Graafschap - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.14%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.49%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.08.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	De Graafschap - Excelsior	1:5 ✺
25.07.26	De Graafschap - AE Kifisia	4:2 ✺
17.07.26	De Graafschap - Telstar	3:6 ✺
12.07.26	De Graafschap - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLL
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Quick Boys - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
17.07.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.04.26	De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:0
22.09.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap	1:3
21.02.25	De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:1
23.09.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap	2:2
29.03.24	De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
23.10.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap	3:0
03.04.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap	0:1

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