The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jorge Wilstermann 33.8%
Draw 22.2%
GVCD San José 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
22.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
23.6%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GVCD San José's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GVCD San José, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Jorge Wilstermann - GVCD San José Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Wilstermann will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). GVCD San José will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salinas L. (G) 25. Dos Santos R. (C) 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 4. Rodriguez F. 15. Machado C. 26. Aliaga A. 18. Barron A. 3. Chumacero A. 17. Rodriguez L. 7. Caceres A.
1. Poveda B. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 33. Landa A. 26. Saavedra D. 5. Seimandi A. 28. Pena S. 15. Villamil S. 10. Galindo S. 16. Arismendi F. 7. Andrada F. 11. Monterubianessi T.
Substitutes
29. Adrian J. 34. Ancieta C. 30. Andersen L. 22. Flores E. 41. Quino E. 38. Rocabado I. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 6. Villarroel N. 33. Zotes S. (G)
4. Alarcon F. 14. Calero D. 27. Ceceri K. 8. Escobar M. 29. Luna Vargas J. 12. Ribera J. 25. Rivas R. (G) 22. Roca D. 6. Serrano L. 55. Vargas D. 40. Vargas J. 3. Villamil J.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.
Argandona B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Seimandi A. 🟥,
12', Andrada F. ↓, Ceceri K. ↑,
36', Aliaga A. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Monterubianessi T. ⚽,
45+1', Caceres A. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Villamil S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Caceres A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Machado C. 🟨,
63', Castillo G. 🟨,
70', Barron A. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
72', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
73', Monterubianessi T. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Landa A. ⚽, Arismendi F. (A),
83', Andersen L. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez L. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
86', Pena S. ↓, Roca D. ↑,
86', Villamil S. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
86', Saavedra D. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
90+5', Vargas D. 🟨,
90+5', Galindo S. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 9).
Wilstermann is Division Profesional (Relegation)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
GVCD San José - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.9%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Salinas L. (G) 
Dos Santos R. (C) 
Castillo G. 
Caceres A. 
Seimandi A. 
Alarcon F. 
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