Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 26

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Vera G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Aurora		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.15	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.15
	1.99	3.63	3.43	Watch
	1.67	3.85	4.16	Watch
	1.63	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.99)	3.96 ↑ (3.63)	4.02 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
53.8%

Draw
23.3%

Jorge Wilstermann
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.5%	4.5%

Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Wilstermann (1.92) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Aurora will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aurora will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Wilstermann (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terrazas J. (G) 12. Torrico J. 52. Sanchez H. 16. Vidaurre I. 23. Fernandez A. 6. Sejas C. 7. Huayhuata I. 26. Torrico D. (C) 69. Terrazas A. 9. Blanco O. 15. Viviani L.	1. Salinas L. (G) 38. Rocabado I. 25. Robson (C) 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 4. Rodriguez F. 15. Machado C. 26. Aliaga A. 18. Barron A. 17. Rodriguez L. 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
14. Aranibar B. 21. Ballivian R. 86. Barba Cortez M. (G) 17. Cornejo J. 27. Flores A. 35. Justiniano G. 55. Michel J. 22. Rojas S. 20. Sanchez A. 4. Troncoso Caiti E. 29. Wesley	29. Adrian J. 34. Ancieta C. 40. Camacho K. 22. Flores E. 39. Flores Quispe O. F. 14. Pardo E. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 23. Velasco A. 6. Villarroel N. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Zenteno E.	Viviani Ribera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Castillo G. 🟨,
45', Caceres A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Barron A. ↓, Adrian J. ↑,
67', Rocabado I. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
67', Robson 🟥,
70', Rodriguez L. ↓, Villarroel N. ↑,
75', Torrico J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Sejas C. ⚽, Viviani L. (A),
79', Sejas C. 🟨,
80', Terrazas A. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
80', Huayhuata I. ↓, Wesley ↑,
81', Machado C. 🟨,
84', Soto R. 🟨,
88', Fernandez A. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
88', Blanco O. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
90+4', Salinas L. 🟥,
90+8', Viviani L. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.

Aurora is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wilstermann has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Aurora is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jorge Wilstermann - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.11.25	GVCD San José - Aurora	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
15.11.25	Aurora - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	The Strongest - Aurora	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.11.25	Bolívar - Aurora	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTTL
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.11.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.11.25	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	6:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2
31.08.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:3
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.06.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:1
08.12.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:3
Club Friendly
15.11.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	3:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.08.24	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0
10.03.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:1

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