Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 27

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Mendoza G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Jorge Wilstermann		Real Oruro

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.58	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.71	3.7	2.38
	2.52	4.09	2.37	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.63	3.74	2.38	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.06)	3.68 ↑ (3.48)	2.34 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jorge Wilstermann
35.5%

Draw
25%

Real Oruro
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.

Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Oruro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Oruro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jorge Wilstermann - Real Oruro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wilstermann will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Real Oruro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jorge Wilstermann will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zotes S. (G) 18. Barron A. 3. Chumacero A. 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 4. Rodriguez F. 28. Soto R. 26. Aliaga A. 15. Machado C. (C) 17. Rodriguez L. 6. Villarroel N.	25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 29. Castedo 28. Alvarez E. 2. Vila J. (C) 30. Prieto J. 18. Orihuela R. 17. Ortiz M. 27. Zeballos S. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 11. Gustavo Oliveira 19. Vallejos Y.
Substitutes
29. Adrian J. 34. Ancieta C. 30. Andersen L. 22. Flores E. 39. Flores Quispe O. F. 12. Olivera M. (G) 14. Pardo E. 38. Rocabado I. 16. Rodriguez I. 23. Velasco A.	5. Alessandrini A. 35. Fernandez D. 33. Garcia R. (G) 41. Gil F. A. 20. Gomez Saca R. 6. Thomas J. 39. Vaca L. 8. Velasco W. 23. Villegas Y.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.	Robledo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Soto R. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽, Chumacero A. (A),
24', Orihuela R. 🟨,
32', Prieto J. 🟨,
38', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Castedo ↓, Gomez Saca R. ↑,
46', Corrales R. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
46', Vallejos Y. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
46', Ortiz M. ↓, Vaca L. ↑,
61', Zeballos S. 🟨,
62', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Velasco W. ↑,
71', Rodriguez L. ↓, Ancieta C. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Zeballos S. ⚽, Vaca L. (A),
76', Gustavo Oliveira ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Ancieta C. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
88', Aliaga A. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Rocabado I. ⚽, Zotes S. (A),
90+5', Barron A. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Real Oruro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wilstermann won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.11.25	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	6:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLW
- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.11.25	Real Oruro - Real Tomayapo	5:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.11.25	Real Oruro - Blooming	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.11.25	The Strongest - Real Oruro	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.11.25	Blooming - Real Oruro	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
30.06.25	Real Oruro - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1

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