Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 28

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Guabirá		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	1.15	7	12	Watch
	1.18	6.7	9.8	Watch
	1.12	7.56	10.69
	1.17	7.8	11.93	Watch
	1.18	6.5	11
	1.15	6.55	11.5	Watch
	1.13	6.66	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.36)	6.97 ↑ (4.95)	11.42 ↑ (7.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
78.9%

Draw
13.1%

Jorge Wilstermann
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.9%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

16.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jorge Wilstermann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Wilstermann (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cuellar J. (G) 2. Barro J. 24. Robles D. 21. Portillo M. (C) 97. Gil S. 7. Peredo G. 5. Moreno A. 15. Rafinha 35. Da Silva D. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 50. Neto Acara	1. Salinas L. (G) 7. Caceres A. 6. Villarroel N. 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 4. Rodriguez F. 26. Aliaga A. 15. Machado C. (C) 17. Rodriguez L. 18. Barron A. 3. Chumacero A.
Substitutes
17. Barco C. 37. Chavez T. 12. Ferrel M. (G) 20. Ibanez S. 14. Parada J. 30. Paredes Gutierrez A. 18. Pena A. 9. Rodriguez G. 10. Sanchez H. 23. Vargas L. 19. Velasco J. 27. Villarroel M.	29. Adrian J. 34. Ancieta C. 30. Andersen L. 22. Flores E. 38. Rocabado I. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Straccia M.	Viviani Ribera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', Moreno A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Peredo G. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Castillo G. ⚽, Aliaga A. (A),
40', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Caceres A. ⚽, Machado C. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Cuellar J. ↓, Ferrel M. ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Neto Acara ⚽,
59', 3 - 2, Gil S. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
63', Villarroel N. ↓, Adrian J. ↑,
66', 4 - 2, Neto Acara ⚽, Portillo M. (A),
69', Barron A. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
70', Neto Acara ↓, Paredes Gutierrez A. ↑,
71', Barro J. 🟨,
75', Da Silva D. ↓, Ibanez S. ↑,
76', Gil S. ↓, Barco C. ↑,
86', 5 - 2, Peredo G. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Peredo G. 🟨,
88', Peredo G. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 3, Rocabado I. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
90+10', 6 - 3, Barco C. ⚽,
90+10', Barco C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).

Wilstermann is Division Profesional (Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 1.

Guabirá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wilstermann has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guabirá is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.12.25	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Guabirá - GVCD San José	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.11.25	Guabirá - The Strongest	3:3 penalties ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.11.25	Guabirá - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.11.25	The Strongest - Guabirá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.12.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Oruro	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.11.25	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
07.07.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá	1:1
11.12.24	Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1
18.08.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá	3:0
19.11.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá	1:0
21.05.23	Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1
30.09.22	Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1
15.07.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá	2:2

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