Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 14

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Joseense		Grêmio Osasco Audax

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.77	3.35	4.2
	1.71	3.46	4.64	Watch
	1.8	3.65	4.17
	1.77	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	4.26 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joseense
51.9%

Draw
26.7%

Grêmio Osasco Audax
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.2%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Grêmio Osasco Audax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Osasco Audax than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Joseense - Grêmio Osasco Audax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Neco E. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Bruno L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 3 - 0, Kaynan ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: )).

Recent matches Joseense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Audax is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Joseense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.03.25	Joseense - Araçatuba	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Joseense	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Joseense - Nacional SP	2:2 ✺
26.02.25	Matonense - Joseense	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Paulista - Joseense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTWL
- Grêmio Osasco Audax
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.03.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Nacional SP	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Penapolense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	União Barbarense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - São Caetano	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Matonense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
03.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Joseense	0:0

Joseense - Grêmio Osasco Audax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide