Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juan Pablo II College		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.3	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.45	3.42
				Watch
	2	3.3	3.5
	1.99	3.54	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.99)	3.41 ↓ (3.54)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
46.4%

Draw
27.2%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 25. Alfani R. 3. Sanchez A. 27. Santillan I. 13. Rodriguez N. 6. Flores C. 7. Fernandez R. 37. Rojas A. 10. Tizon C. 28. Duran J.	1. Ynamine P. (G) 18. Fernandez A. 6. Ibarguen J. 3. Ampuero A. 19. Mendieta J. 26. Iraola G. 33. Otavio Gut 22. Campodonico R. 8. Lliuya M. 17. Mena Y. 29. Escobar J.
Substitutes
26. Agurto F. 11. Aliaga R. 16. Canova J. 17. Espinoza A. 5. Peralta M. 12. Quispe I. (G) 19. Ramirez R. 20. Roca F.	27. Camara J. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 14. Guevara B. 10. Oliva E. 15. Ramirez N. 90. Rodriguez C. 38. Sernaque J. 16. Tapia R. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.
Coaches
Acasiete S.	Bermudez Tucto M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Mena Y. 🟨,
45+3', Rojas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Rodriguez N. ↓, Roca F. ↑,
63', Ynamine P. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Tizon C. (Pen),
65', Fernandez A. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
65', Campodonico R. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
68', Mendieta J. 🟨,
70', Rojas A. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
75', Mendieta J. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
81', Santillan I. ↓, Agurto F. ↑,
81', Flores C. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
86', Otavio Gut ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
87', Iraola G. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
90', Peralta M. 🟨,
90+2', Duran J. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+7', Guevara B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Juan Pablo II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury) Perleche A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
06.07.25	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTLW
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
05.07.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	4:1 ✺
20.06.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
23.06.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Pablo II College	3:0
28.04.24	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1

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