Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juan Pablo II College		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.85	3.2	2	Watch
	3.9	3.35	1.95
	3.95	3.21	1.98	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.91
	3.85	3.3	1.96	Watch
	3.45	3.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.45)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
24.3%

Draw
28.2%

FBC Melgar
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.3%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 6. Fuentes P. 22. Peralta M. 17. Espinoza A. 28. Duran J. 18. Ramirez E. 50. Alaniz M. 10. Cueva C. (C) 29. Tizon C. 7. Henricks A.	21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 90. Jesus Alcantar 45. Zegarra M. 24. Tandazo W. 6. Salas J. 11. Vidales J. 10. Quagliata N. 16. Caceres J. 9. Cuesta B. (C)
Substitutes
26. Agurto F. 11. Aliaga R. 80. Barreto J. 20. Bazan H. 8. Flores C. 5. Garcia C. 39. Juambeltz M. 12. Quispe I. (G) 15. Ramirez N.	20. Bernaola G. 7. Bordacahar C. 12. Caceda C. (G) 80. D'Arrigo J. 22. Erustes P. 14. Gamero Y. 8. Guzman L. 4. Ramos A. 77. Zanelatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Cuesta B. ⚽, Caceres J. (A),
45+2', Escobar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽,
59', Espinoza A. ↓, Agurto F. ↑,
63', Caceres J. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
71', Cueva C. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
71', Ramirez E. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
77', Cuesta B. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
84', Duran J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
86', Quagliata N. ↓, Bordacahar C. ↑,
90+2', Peralta M. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5).

Juan Pablo II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Melgar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melgar might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Juan Pablo II: Canova J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C. (Knee Injury) Deneumostier A. (Yellow Cards) Orzan H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Melgar: Vidales J. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
6	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
16.05.26	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atlético	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sport Huancayo - Juan Pablo II College	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Juan Pablo II College - Universitario de Deportes	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Sport Boys - Juan Pablo II College	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
16.05.26	FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
05.08.25	FBC Melgar - Juan Pablo II College	1:1
02.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar	1:1

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