Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Juazeirense		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.75
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.33	2.85	2.85
	2.34	2.85	2.99
	2.35	2.75	2.9
	2.39	3.02	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.86)	2.84 ↓ (3)	2.91 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juazeirense
37.5%

Draw
31.6%

Santa Cruz Recife
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juazeirense's form might have worsened.

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz Recife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juazeirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Juazeirense - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Juazeirense will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 12 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 59.8% – 100%.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Juazeirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Juazeirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Juazeirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Juazeirense
Copa do Brasil
30.04.22	Palmeiras - Juazeirense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.04.22	Sergipe - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Juazeirense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
16.03.22	Juazeirense - UNIRB	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
23.04.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Lagarto - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.04.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 penalties ✺
19.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City	3:0 ✺
16.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.08.18	Juazeirense - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
02.06.18	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.03.16	Juazeirense - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1
24.02.16	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:1

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