Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lagarto		Santa Cruz Recife

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Lagarto
30.6%

Draw
30.6%

Santa Cruz Recife
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Santa Cruz have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lagarto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
26.03.22	Lagarto - Sergipe	0:2 ✺
20.03.22	Itabaiana - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Lagarto - América de Propriá	4:1 ✺
05.03.22	Frei Paulistano - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
26.02.22	Sergipe - Lagarto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.04.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 penalties ✺
19.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City	3:0 ✺
16.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Vera Cruz	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWL

Lagarto - Santa Cruz Recife