The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 52.6%
Draw 26.2%
Fortaleza CEIF 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
26.5%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
20.8%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junior Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza CEIF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Reyes L. (G) 16. Carrasquilla D. 23. Martinez F. 5. Moreno Y. 13. Vega E. 25. Castano L. 20. Sanchez Y. 21. Martinez T. 10. Navarro L. 7. Baldovino M. 9. Ruiz J.
12. Callejas I. (G) 3. Martinez M. 2. Bohorquez S. 27. Henao S. 14. Aroca L. (C) 10. Garzon K. 15. Saenz M. 20. Collazos S. 5. Olivares L. 11. Santana D. 17. Puertas K.
Substitutes
15. Bonett S. 19. Gomez N. 6. Herrera R. 17. Mosquera Y. 12. Murillo K. (G) 3. Orozco Y. 4. Paez M. 11. Santos E.
21. Agudelo S. 13. Cardenas N. 1. Manrique M. (G) 8. Murcia S. 24. Peralta L. 9. Torres R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Collazos S. 🟨,
41', Sanchez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez T. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
49', Saenz M. 🟨,
61', Collazos S. ↓, Agudelo S. ↑,
71', Puertas K. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
71', Santana D. ↓, Peralta L. ↑,
84', Vega E. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
84', Santos E. 🟨,
87', Garzon K. ↓, Cardenas N. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
Junior has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fortaleza CEIF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Junior is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.