Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Juve Stabia		Catania

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.75	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.68	2.91	2.66
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.62	3.02	2.57
	2.7	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.06)	3 ↓ (3.05)	2.52 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
33.7%

Draw
30.3%

Catania
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juve Stabia's form might have worsened.

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juve Stabia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Juve Stabia - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Catania will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catania: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ngagne D. (G) 13. Baldi M. 21. Bachini M. 6. Bellich M. 28. Andreoni C. 8. Buglio D. 55. Leone G. 33. Erradi B. 10. Bentivegna A. (C) 27. Candellone L. 11. Piscopo K.	1. Bethers K. (G) 13. Bouah D. 4. Silvestri T. 2. Curado M. (C) 11. Mazzotta A. 33. Zammarini R. 16. Quaini A. 6. Zanellato N. 32. Chirico C. 10. Di Carmine S. 77. Marsura D.
Substitutes
26. D'Amore F. 32. Esposito M. (G) 23. Folino F. 25. Gerbo A. 17. Guarracino M. 3. La Rosa A. 5. Maselli S. 14. Meli M. 19. Mignanelli D. 44. Picardi M. 99. Piovanello E. 31. Rovaglia P. 61. Ruggiero G. 1. Signorini A. (G) 77. Vimercati A.	95. Albertoni M. (G) 27. Castellini A. 19. Deli F. 17. Dubickas E. 21. Ladinetti R. 26. Lorenzini F. 3. Maffei M. 15. Privitera L. 18. Rizzo G. 9. Sarao M. 12. Torrisi C. (G)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juve Stabia won 0.

Juve Stabia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Catania is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie C Group C
10.10.23	Città di Brindisi - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Juve Stabia - Potenza	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Juve Stabia - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Audace Cerignola - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
21.09.23	Juve Stabia - Potenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.23	Catania - Latina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Catania - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Casertana - Catania	0:4 ✺
25.09.23	Catania - Foggia	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Monopoli - Catania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.22	Juve Stabia - Catania	0:2
10.10.21	Catania - Juve Stabia	3:2
03.02.21	Juve Stabia - Catania	1:1
07.10.20	Catania - Juve Stabia	1:0
17.03.19	Catania - Juve Stabia	1:0
17.11.18	Juve Stabia - Catania	0:0
09.04.18	Catania - Juve Stabia	0:0

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