Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Max
World	FIFA+


	Catania		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.4	4.2	8	Watch
	1.42	4.01	7.98
	1.48	3.94	7.36
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.41	4	7.13	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.04 ↑ (3.91)	7.57 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
65.1%

Draw
22.8%

ACR Messina
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

23.3%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

22.1%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Catania - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 27. Castellini A. 19. Raimo A. 17. Luperini G. 14. Verna L. 20. Carpani G. 33. Anastasio A. 32. Montalto A. 9. Inglese R.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 5. Mame Ass N. 6. Manetta M. 98. Rizzo F. 7. Lia D. 4. Garofalo V. 8. Frisenna G. 28. Pedicillo L. 21. Salvo G. 11. Petrungaro L. 9. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
36. Allegra O. 1. Bethers K. (G) 35. Ciniero E. 22. D'Agata L. (G) 11. D'Andrea F. 6. De Rose F. 37. Forti C. 24. Gega E. 10. Jimenez K. 21. Stoppa M.	25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 18. Luciani P. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 20. Morleo U. 24. Ortisi P. 16. Petrucci D. 17. Re A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Mame Ass N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Luperini G. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
61', Mame Ass N. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
69', Lia D. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
69', Anatriello G. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
71', Carpani G. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
79', Salvo G. 🟥,
82', Luciani P. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
83', Petrungaro L. ↓, Morleo U. ↑,
88', Montalto A. 🟨,
90+7', Catania 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catania won 3.

Recent matches Catania is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ACR Messina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Catania is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Catania won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Catania won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.24	Turris - Catania	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Catania - Latina	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Foggia - Catania	2:2 ✺
12.10.24	Catania - Altamura	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Casertana - Catania	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWW
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.24	ACR Messina - Cavese	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
20.10.24	ACR Messina - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.04.24	Catania - ACR Messina	1:0
09.12.23	ACR Messina - Catania	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Catania - ACR Messina	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.21	ACR Messina - Catania	2:2
26.02.17	ACR Messina - Catania	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.16	ACR Messina - Catania	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
09.10.16	Catania - ACR Messina	3:1

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