Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Juve Stabia		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.9	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.12	3	3.8
	2.06	3.06	3.93	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3.82	Watch
	2.12	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)	3.07 ↓ (3.16)	3.68 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
43.7%

Draw
30.7%

Salernitana
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Juve Stabia - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juve Stabia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 45. Peda P. 6. Bellich M. 15. Floriani R. 55. Leone G. 8. Buglio D. (C) 29. Fortini N. 11. Piscopo K. 27. Candellone L. 9. Adorante A.	53. Christensen O. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. (C) 47. Lochoshvili L. 30. Stojanovic P. 98. Zuccon F. 21. Soriano R. 17. Njoh L. 31. Verde D. 7. Tongya F. 90. Cerri A.
Substitutes
13. Baldi M. 7. Dubickas E. 25. Gerbo A. 80. Louati A. 37. Maistro F. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 98. Mosti N. 2. Quaranta D. 3. Rocchetti Y. 18. Sgarbi L. 24. Varnier M.	18. Caligara F. 16. Corazza T. 12. Corriere F. (G) 43. Fusco G. 29. Ghiglione P. 72. Girelli S. 27. Guasone J. 8. Hrustic A. 99. Raimondo A. 55. Sepe L. (G) 70. Tello A.
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Njoh L. 🟨,
30', Buglio D. 🟨,
44', Njoh L. 🟨,
45+2', Soriano R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Verde D. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Fortini N. ⚽, Piscopo K. (A),
66', Stojanovic P. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
70', Piscopo K. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
71', Leone G. ↓, Louati A. ↑,
78', Louati A. 🟥,
84', Ruggeri F. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
85', Fortini N. ↓, Rocchetti Y. ↑,
85', Adorante A. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
89', Tongya F. ↓, Guasone J. ↑,
89', Buglio D. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Juve Stabia will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Dubickas E. (Inactive) Varnier M. (Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Amatucci L. (Yellow Cards) Braaf J. (Injury) Jaroszynski P. (Injury) Stojanovic P. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Bronn D. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juve Stabia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
30.03.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Juve Stabia - Modena	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mantova - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Juve Stabia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Pisa - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
30.03.25	Salernitana - Palermo	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Bari - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Salernitana - Modena	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Cesena - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.12.24	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	1:2
03.07.20	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	2:1
23.11.19	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
18.04.15	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	1:0
07.12.14	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	3:2

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