Match Info

Serie B - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Mantova		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.8
	2.48	3.1	2.82	Watch
	2.6	3.15	3.03
	2.56	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.63	3.22	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.59)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.87 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
37.5%

Draw
29.8%

Juve Stabia
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	50%	7.1%

Mantova - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bardi F. (G) 13. Meroni A. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 17. Radaelli N. 21. Trimboli S. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 30. Bragantini D. 77. Buso N. 9. Mancuso L. (C)	23. Boer P. (G) 33. Giorgini A. 14. Dalle Mura C. (C) 46. Diakite S. 24. Carissoni L. 10. Pierobon C. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 70. Matheu P. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 28. Caprini M. 5. Chrysopoulos K. 3. Dembele A. 18. Falletti C. 15. Goncalves T. 96. Maggioni T. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 36. Paoletti F. 34. Vukovic A. (G) 10. Wieser D.	7. Burnete R. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 21. Kassama S. 76. Mannini M. 98. Mosti N. 90. Okoro A. 2. Ricciardi M. 16. Signorini A. (G) 28. Torrasi E. 22. Vetro A. (G)
Coaches
Modesto F.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Pierobon C. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Bragantini D. ⚽, Benaissa-Yahia F. (A),
26', Pierobon C. 🟨,
38', Correia O. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽, Buso N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Correia O. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
46', Matheu P. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
46', Carissoni L. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
47', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
52', Diakite S. 🟨,
53', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Goncalves T. ↑,
58', Radaelli N. 🟨,
58', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
58', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
62', Radaelli N. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
62', Kouda R. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
66', Cacciamani A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
73', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
73', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
83', Mannini M. 🟨,
86', Dalle Mura C. 🟨,
90+1', Mosti N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Mantova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Juve Stabia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C. (Injury) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Muci N. (Inactive) Ruocco F. (Inactive) Zuccon F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Bellich M. (Inactive) Candellone L. (Injury) Confente A. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Varnier M. (Inactive) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Mantova - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Juve Stabia - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Palermo - Mantova	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Mantova - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Reggiana - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLL
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Juve Stabia - Mantova	2:1
08.03.25	Mantova - Juve Stabia	1:1
28.08.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
11.05.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:4

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