Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.48	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.6	2.97	3.21
	2.54	2.98	3.13	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.48	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.44)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	3.06 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
37.6%

Draw
31.5%

Modena
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Salernitana - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. (C) 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 98. Zuccon F. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 16. Corazza T. 31. Verde D. 90. Cerri A.	26. Gagno R. (G) 29. Cotali M. 19. Zaro G. 14. Vulikic S. 25. Dellavalle A. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. (C) 6. Magnino L. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G. 11. Mendes P.
Substitutes
18. Caligara F. 72. Girelli S. 27. Guasone J. 8. Hrustic A. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 13. Ruggeri F. 55. Sepe L. (G) 30. Stojanovic P. 7. Tongya F. 20. Wlodarczyk S.	78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 2. Beyuku G. 21. Bozhanaj K. 23. Caldara M. 92. Defrel G. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E. 27. Idrissi R. 93. Kamate I. 24. Oliva M. 1. Seculin A. (G)
Coaches
Breda R.	Mandelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Dellavalle A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Bronn D. 🟨,
57', Palumbo A. 🟨,
58', Santoro S. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Soriano R. ⚽,
68', Bronn D. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
68', Verde D. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
70', Cotali M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
71', Caso G. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
76', Zaro G. 🟨,
81', Magnino L. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
82', Santoro S. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
82', Zuccon F. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
82', Corazza T. ↓, Njoh L. ↑,
86', Soriano R. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
86', Palumbo A. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J. (Injury) Jaroszynski P. (Injury) Simy (Injury) Wlodarczyk S. (Injury)

There will not play in Modena: Di Pardo A. (Thigh Injury) Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
01.03.25	Cesena - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Carrarese - Salernitana	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Brescia - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Salernitana - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLTW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cittadella - Modena	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Modena - Spezia	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sampdoria - Modena	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Modena - Mantova	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.12.24	Modena - Salernitana	1:1
07.05.16	Salernitana - Modena	0:0
18.12.15	Modena - Salernitana	2:0

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