Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV


	Bari		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.42	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.37	3.15	3.33
	2.41	2.91	3.26	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.46	3.02	3.12	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.47)	2.99 ↓ (3.17)	3.19 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
39.1%

Draw
31.5%

Salernitana
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Bari - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Salernitana will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radunovic B. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 44. Simic L. 55. Obaretin N. 27. Favasuli C. 4. Maita M. (C) 8. Benali A. 21. Maggiore G. 93. Dorval M. 15. Lasagna K. 11. Bonfanti N.	53. Christensen O. (C) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 98. Zuccon F. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 16. Corazza T. 31. Verde D. 90. Cerri A.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 19. Falletti C. 99. Favilli A. 17. Maiello R. 45. Marfella D. (G) 9. Novakovich A. 7. Oliveri A. 20. Pereiro G. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 94. Saco C. 23. Vicari F.	2. Gentile D. 72. Girelli S. 27. Guasone J. 8. Hrustic A. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 7. Tongya F.
Coaches
Longo M.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Maita M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bonfanti N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
62', Maita M. ↓, Maiello R. ↑,
67', Benali A. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
74', Verde D. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
79', Maiello R. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', Zuccon F. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
82', Favasuli C. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
82', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
90+1', Favilli A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bari will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bari: Favilli A. (Inactive) Lella N. (Inactive) Pucino R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J. (Injury) Bronn D. (Yellow Cards) Simy (Injury) Tello A. (Inactive)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bari won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
09.03.25	Sassuolo - Bari	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Bari - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Mantova - Bari	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bari - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Salernitana - Modena	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Cesena - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Carrarese - Salernitana	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Brescia - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Bari - Salernitana	1:1
Italian Serie B
07.04.18	Bari - Salernitana	1:1
04.11.17	Salernitana - Bari	2:2
25.04.17	Salernitana - Bari	0:0
03.12.16	Bari - Salernitana	2:0
26.03.16	Salernitana - Bari	3:4

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