Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.35	Watch
	3	3	2.4
	3.15	2.92	2.38	Watch
	3.31	3.1	2.44
	3.27	2.93	2.4	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.4
	3.28	2.85	2.43	Watch
	3.14	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.06)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
29.3%

Draw
31.7%

Modena
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

31.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	61.5%	15.4%

Juve Stabia - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Juve Stabia (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 20%). Modena (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boer P. (G) 33. Giorgini A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 6. Bellich M. (C) 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 37. Maistro F. 77. Cacciamani A. 90. Okoro A. 9. Gabrielloni A.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 25. Dellavalle A. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 17. Massolin Y. 19. Nador S. 8. Santoro S. (C) 98. Zanimacchia L. 10. Ambrosino G. 99. De Luca M.
Substitutes
7. Burnete R. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 29. Correia O. 46. Diakite S. 21. Kassama S. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 2. Ricciardi M. 16. Signorini A. (G) 28. Torrasi E.	28. Adorni D. 2. Beyuku G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 6. Fabbri T. M. 9. Gliozzi E. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 11. Mendes P. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 71. Wiafe S.
Coaches
Abate I.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Zanimacchia L. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
20', Tonoli D. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Zampano F. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
41', Ambrosino G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Okoro A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
47', Bellich M. 🟨,
55', Gabrielloni A. 🟨,
57', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
64', Maistro F. ↓, Matheu P. ↑,
64', Ambrosino G. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
64', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
65', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
74', Cacciamani A. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Mosti N. ⚽, Burnete R. (A),
75', Massolin Y. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
79', Tonoli D. 🟨,
81', Gabrielloni A. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Defrel G. ↓, Adorni D. ↑,
87', Zanimacchia L. 🟨,
90+4', Mosti N. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
90+4', Carissoni L. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
90+7', Diakite S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juve Stabia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Candellone L. (Injury) Diakite S. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pierobon C. (Inactive) Varnier M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N. (Inactive) Sersanti A. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.53%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Modena - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Juve Stabia - Padova	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juve Stabia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Venezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Modena - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Empoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Modena - Palermo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0
15.03.25	Juve Stabia - Modena	2:1
21.09.24	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0
12.04.14	Modena - Juve Stabia	4:2
09.11.13	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:1
28.03.13	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:0
05.11.12	Modena - Juve Stabia	1:0

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