Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	San Marino Academy U22		Juvenes-Dogana

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.85	1.43
	6.6	3.84	1.44
	8.33	4.68	1.33	Watch
	8.3	3.74	1.4
	6.5	3.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↑ (7)	3.98 ↓ (4.6)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Academy U22
12.6%

Draw
22.8%

Juvenes-Dogana
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

19.8%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Academy U22 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juvenes-Dogana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Marino Academy U22 - Juvenes Dogana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sartini S. ⚽, Sartini N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Sartini N. ⚽, Aprea M. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Marino Academy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juvenes-Dogana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juvenes-Dogana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Juvenes-Dogana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Juvenes-Dogana is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Marino Academy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Marino Academy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	Domagnano - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Faetano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Pennarossa - San Marino Academy U22	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Cosmos	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Faetano	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Virtus	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
02.03.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Juvenes-Dogana	1:2
03.11.24	Juvenes-Dogana - San Marino Academy U22	0:1
21.02.24	San Marino Academy U22 - Juvenes-Dogana	1:2

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