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Juventud de Las Piedras vs Montevideo City Torque Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, July 11, 2026)

Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 5

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.40
	2.88	3.15	2.35
	3.12	3.41	2.39
	2.79	3.2	2.54
	2.95	3.35	2.35
	2.86	3.31	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
32.4%

Draw
28.7%

Montevideo City Torque
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. (C) 16. Rabino R. 22. Chagas R. 14. Roldan L. 37. Peralta R. 26. Pereiro G. 80. Mimbacas F. 10. Larregui B.	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 7. Andrade L. 9. Rodriguez S. 10. Obregon E.
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 30. Gomez G. 33. Idiarte M. (G) 11. Lago P. 21. Perez F. 9. Perez M. 28. Risso F. 8. Rolon K.	15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 18. Lecchini R. 21. Perez N. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Roldan L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Pereiro G. ⚽,
45', Andrade L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', Montes G. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Obregon E. ⚽,
54', Obregon E. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
61', Rabino R. 🟨,
64', Larregui B. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
64', Chagas R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
73', Pereiro G. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
73', Mimbacas F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
76', Montes G. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
79', Obregon E. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
79', Aguero E. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
83', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
83', Andrade L. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Busquets E. ⚽,
90', Siles P. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Busquets E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.

Juventud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montevideo City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

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Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Montevideo City	15	6	5	4	22:16	6	23
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	17:22	-5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.07.26	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:5 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Cienciano - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLTT
- Montevideo City Torque
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Bahia - Montevideo City Torque	4:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.06.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Grêmio - Montevideo City Torque	2:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Progreso - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2
14.09.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	0:1
24.05.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	3:2
20.03.25	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:4
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.09.24	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0
16.06.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	1:3
04.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0

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