Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Uruguay	11:00	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	10:00	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Progreso		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.20	1.95	Watch
	3.50	3.40	1.93
	3.95	3.40	1.87
	4.00	3.24	2.12
	3.79	3.35	1.99	Watch
	3.95	3.05	2.09
	3.87	3.26	1.98	Watch
	3.65	3.20	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.42)	3.26 ↑ (3.16)	2 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
24.5%

Draw
28.6%

Deportivo Maldonado
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Maldonado (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchia R. (G) 24. Alvarez E. 13. Carroso H. 6. Saravia M. 15. Martin M. 5. Pinheiro A. 25. Cristobal R. 7. Ocampo A. 10. Lopez N. 17. De Leon F. 8. Juambeltz M.	25. Segovia D. (G) 32. Petryk H. 3. Menosse H. 19. Tealde F. (C) 22. Ramos J. 17. Ramirez S. 8. Gonzalez M. 28. Cartagena S. 16. Cesar R. 14. Tabo C. 9. Bolzan C.
Substitutes
11. Acosta N. 21. Bruschi S. 2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 23. Copelotti M. 4. Couture L. 12. Fernandez L. (G) 3. Garcia F. 19. Silva J. 16. Trasante G. 14. Viana L.	42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 2. Fuica N. 4. Ginzo J. M. 7. Larrazabal G. 18. Mayada C. 29. Mozzone E. 5. Nunez L. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Silva T.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Menosse H. 🟨,
20', Cristobal R. 🟨,
32', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bolzan C. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
50', Martin M. ↓, Trasante G. ↑,
62', De Leon F. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
62', Ocampo A. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
71', Cartagena S. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
71', Ramirez S. ↓, Larrazabal G. ↑,
73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Viana L. ↑,
73', Cristobal R. ↓, Bruschi S. ↑,
80', Petryk H. ↓, Ginzo J. M. ↑,
84', Cesar R. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Tabo C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.

Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maldonado will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	12	6	3	3	18:10	8	21
9	Progreso	11	5	1	5	12:13	-1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	Central Español - Progreso	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.07.26	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0
14.02.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	2:0
06.10.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	2:2
21.07.24	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1
31.03.24	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1
21.10.21	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0
24.06.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	1:1

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