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Current Win Probability
Juventud de Las Piedras 12.8%
Draw 21.2%
Nacional Montevideo 66%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.2%
20.5%
67.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13%
19.2%
63.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Nacional (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Rossi N. (G) 25. Mujica I. 4. Caceres M. (C) 28. Risso F. 16. Rabino R. 8. Izaguirre M. 14. Roldan L. 19. Cecchini E. 30. Gomez G. 80. Mimbacas F. 15. Cruz A.
1. Mejia L. (C) 5. Pintado J. 2. Rogel A. 15. Calione P. 21. Candido C. 8. Vera M. 10. Dos Santos A. 27. Veron T. 7. Lopez N. 31. Martinez R. 9. Gomez M.
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 24. Barrandeguy F. 27. Boselli J. 22. Chagas R. 10. Larregui B. 23. Mas E. 21. Perez F. 9. Perez M. 2. Pernicone P. 33. Ruotola N. (G)
13. Ancheta E. 34. Bais F. 30. Barcia B. 6. Boggio L. 20. Carneiro G. 24. Mereles E. 23. Rodriguez L. 11. Silvera M. 25. Suarez I. (G) 32. Viera T.
Coaches
Mendez S.
Viera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Cruz A. 🟨,
9', Risso F. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Cruz A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
34', Pintado J. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Veron T. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
46', Martinez R. ↓, Boggio L. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Izaguirre M. ⚽,
56', Mendez S. 🟨,
62', Roldan L. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
62', Mimbacas F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
62', Gomez G. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
67', Dos Santos A. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
67', Lopez N. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
73', Carneiro G. 🟨,
80', Cruz A. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
84', Alaniz A. 🟨,
88', Cecchini E. ↓, Pernicone P. ↑,
90+1', Larregui B. 🟨,
90+2', Caceres M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nacional is the obvious favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Nacional
9
5
2
2
13:9
4
17
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Nacional Montevideo - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 67.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Rossi N. (G) 
Roldan L. 
Mejia L. (C) 
Perez M. 
Viera J. 
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