Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.42	2.92	3.05	Watch
	2.56	3.07	3.01
	2.41	3.07	3.2
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.46	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.36	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.07)	3.03 ↓ (3.22)	3.09 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
38.5%

Draw
31%

Guaraní Asuncion
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Las Piedras's form might have worsened.

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaraní Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Guaraní (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. 11. Lago P. 22. Chagas R. 14. Roldan L. 20. Sanchez R. 10. Larregui B. 7. Alaniz A.	1. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 2. Segovia I. 4. Zaracho S. 20. Maidana A. 5. Tanda P. 26. Fernandez D. 36. Martinez L. 29. Llano J. 10. Rodriguez D. 17. Torales R.
Substitutes
27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 15. Cruz A. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 8. Izaguirre M. 80. Mimbacas F. 37. Peralta R. 21. Perez F. 16. Rabino R. 28. Risso F. 12. Rossi N. (G)	31. Arzamendia M. (G) 13. Dominguez Garcete A. A. 40. Fernandez F. 25. Gomez G. 27. Gomez M. 11. Jhon Sanchez 8. Lopez M. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 9. Ramirez I. 19. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 14. Ramos M. 15. Servin T.
Coaches
Mendez S.	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Alaniz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
60', Llano J. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
76', Tanda P. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
76', Fernandez D. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
76', Chagas R. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
76', Sanchez R. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
77', Zaracho S. 🟨,
85', Torales R. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
85', Rodriguez D. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
86', Larregui B. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Juventud is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guaraní has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Juventud will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.43%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.02.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:5 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:0 ✺
29.01.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTL

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